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Friday, May 17, 2013

AFL Preview Round 8

The AFL bump has come under attack with varied responses from players, coaches and experts. 2 incidents on the weekend resulted in suspensions and reference was made to the Thomas bump a few weeks ago and how lucky he escaped suspension. Personally I thought they were a bit different. The game is a lot cleaner than 20 years ago, that’s for sure but we need to be careful that we don’t make it a game of touch footy! Some interesting games to tip this week and my 5 last week, after a 9 the week before, is an indication of both inconsistency in form and stupid tipping! J


Round 8

Friday

 
West Coast Eagles V North Melbourne at Paterson Stadium

If you tried to pick a winner using all the stats available to you the final result might be a draw and doesn’t North love draws? The Eagles have been very beatable at home this year and a slow start by both teams makes this a difficult match to tip a winner. West Coast seems to be getting personnel back from injury and North might have to chance a couple of injured players. NicNat and Majak. Home team.

West Coast by 19

 

Saturday

 

Essendon V Brisbane Lions at Etihad

It’s going to be too hard to make a case for a Lions’ win here so best not try. For Michael Voss wins are extremely important or it’s the AFL coach scrap heap for him it seems. Unfortunately the win his team is chasing won’t be happening in this game. The Bombers were very inaccurate against the Cats last week although even with straighter kicking they would not have won that game. Better chance this week.

Essendon by 28

 

Hawthorn V GWS Giants

A Giants’ win is paying $14. That’s generous but not in the ballpark. $100 might be more like it. Not a lot can be said for the winning chances of GWS in this game which last year they lost by 167 points. History sometimes repeats and the margin will again be in that range.

Hawthorn by 125

 

Gold Coast Suns V Western Bulldogs

The Suns have a wonderful chance here of winning two games in a row for the first time in their history. In doing that they will also have won more games this season than last year when they won 3. This is just round 8 and with 16 more rounds to go that is one record they should beat. The Bullies have been competitive but only for 2 or 3 quarters. Expect this game to be very close and hopefully the Suns don’t take the game too lightly. Their best effort will win them the game.

Gold Coast Suns by 7

 

Collingwood V Geelong

Buckley reckons Collingwood are a long way from the top teams this season. I couldn’t agree more and seeing they will be playing THE top team, undefeated Geelong, the Pies would need to play their A+ game to even come close. Not clearing from the centre, not getting back into defence quick enough, all these aspects of their game need fixing – by Saturday night. The smart money will be on the Cats to continue undefeated.

Geelong by 22

 

Sydney V Fremantle at the SCG

Another AFL knee injury has cost a player a full season the victim this time being Fremantle ruckman Griffin. The Dockers already have Sandilands still out with a sore foot. That will make it just a bit tougher to win at the SCG for Fremantle who are going along quite well. The Swans will be dirty on their efforts against the Hawks last week and it will be Freo that cops a retaliatory physical onslaught. Past games have been close but Sydney at home looks good enough to tip.

Sydney by 15

 

Sunday

 

Carlton V Port Adelaide

The Blues will welcome the return of Waite from suspension and Gibbs from injury. Conversely they lose Betts for 3 games, he was suspended for a high hit on a St Kilda player, breaking his jaw. It looked innocuous until you saw the slow motion replay. The big season start by the Power has been switched off with 2 consecutive losses and it could be 3 after this game. Both teams started poorly last week so that makes them even statistically at the start of the game. Hard to see the more experienced Blues drop this game at home.

Carlton by 31

 

Richmond V Melbourne

This game is just what the Tigers needed to help consolidate a top 8 position. Melbourne has huge problems and playing football is one of them. It’s a wonder they beat the Giants. There can be upsets in games, we have them nearly every week, but this would have to be a monumental upset to tip the Dees to win this game. Any game really.

Richmond by 55

 

Adelaide V St Kilda

The word is that the Crows are back with a vengeance after their huge win last week, but hey, the opposition was GWS who are getting hammered most weeks. The Saints victory was far more meritorious beating Carlton and they will have a lot of confidence going into this match. Will that confidence be enough to get them over the line? Probably not.

Adelaide by 27

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