Friday, May 10, 2013

AFL Preview Round 7

Author www.footy.com.au: One week I am lamenting my poor tipping skills and the following week every tip is correct. Mind you it wasn’t a hard round of games from which to pick winners so it can be assumed that many tipsters scored well. In contrast to Round 6 we find this week’s fixture has 8 of the top 9 teams playing each other. Not only does that make picking winners a little harder but it means that winning teams outside the 8 get a chance to gain a game on the leaders. However, it also means that the teams outside the 8 play each other and with some being on a sort of level footing standard-wise then picking winners from those matches will also be tough. If you get an 8 or 9 this week you can beat your chest and stand proud!

 

Friday

 

Geelong V Essendon  at Etihad

The opening match for this round will see the two undefeated sides play each other and we can expect a top quality game. Certainly the Cats and the Bombers are two of the form teams of the competition and maintaining that unbeaten record is something for which to aim. Essendon may have had a scare last week against the Giants but Geelong has been winning games coming from behind as well. I think the Cats can apply the greater pressure. The Essendon club is still under siege with this drug issue but it seems to have had no bearing on the mental attitude of the players.

Geelong by 19

 

Saturday

 

Port Adelaide V Richmond at AAMI Stadium

The Power lowered their colours for the first time last week against North but didn’t lose by a lot after giving the Kangaroos a jump start. The Tigers wilted badly against Geelong in the second half and the Richmond players need to stop allowing silly turnovers which are hurting them on the scoreboard. A revitalized Port Adelaide looks hard to beat at home. The Tigers have actually beaten Port at home 3 times in the last couple of seasons but the Power has been a basket case for a couple of years.

Port Adelaide by 20

 

Brisbane V West Coast at the Gabba

The Lions have not been playing well but then again, neither have the Eagles although getting some quality players back has certainly done their chances no harm. Can they travel all the way to QLD and stay on the winning track after a big win against the Bulldogs? The class they showed last season can’t have just disappeared so the tip is that they can win two in a row at the expense of Brisbane. Discussion about coaches will follow the result of this game. Voss looks to be in trouble and the jury is out on Whoosha.

West Coast Eagles by 21

 

Western Bulldogs V North Melbourne at Etihad

The Kangaroos certainly look the better team so far this season and the Bulldogs just have to keep rebuilding. Problems with the Cooney contract is a distraction but there are other issues there that will make it difficult for them to beat North, such as not enough good players. To equal last year’s effort North has to win these games against supposedly weaker opposition. The odds certainly favour them for a win and they welcome back Brent Harvey after a lengthy suspension from last year.

North Melbourne by 33

 

Hawthorn V Sydney at the MCG

This is the second big game of the round and a replay of last year’s Grand Final. There really was little separating the two teams then and they are again on pretty equal footing so far this season. Playing at the MCG holds no fears for the Swans and they might even start as slight underdogs in the betting. The Hawks have played a couple of real tough games in a row and maybe that’s the difference when it gets tight in the packs. Does Sydney have the wood on the Hawks? The only time they have beaten Hawthorn of late is in the Grand Final.

Sydney by 11

 

Fremantle V Collingwood at Paterson Stadium

Sixth placed Freo take on the Pies at home and there is a distinct possibility that the loser might drop out of the top 8 if the Tigers can beat Port. Collingwood has regained a few players from injury while the Dockers have lost a few. Maybe that’s enough to make the difference and give the Magpies the edge. Fremantle played well last week as did Collingwood but they played teams that will not make the finals this year. It’s a big test for Fremantle and maybe a bit too hard with that injury and suspension list.

Collingwood by 22

 

Sunday

 

GWS Giants V Adelaide at Skoda

Sheeds stated that a nil win balance at the end of the season sits well with him. Well Adelaide will supply his team’s 7th successive loss and help to keep his happy feelings going! Such a lot of talent in that Giants team and Kev might be right, when the time comes they will be unbeatable. But at this stage and for this tip I am confident that the Crows will prevail even without Tex Walker for the rest of the season. With odds of $12 to win seems like punters agree with the tip. If Skoda is the home ground of the Giants why is this just their first home game?

Adelaide by 35

 

Melbourne V Gold Coast Suns at the MCG

A lot of tipsters will think this might be a gimme for the Suns but Melbourne played well enough against the other new team to finish well on top and were even able to kick 12 goals in a quarter to achieve the result. I think the Suns will be really disappointed with their effort against Fremantle last week and this match gives them a good opportunity to register another important win for the club. They sit 13th on the ladder and 4 more points will give them a buffer against the real cellar dwellers.

Gold Coast Suns by 18

 

Monday – Mother’s Day

 

St Kilda V Carlton at Etihad

The shaky start by the Blues is just a memory as they notched up 3 wins in a row and more than likely a 4th they should have against the Saints. St Kilda try hard and they still have a few very good players but they are just not up to beating sides above them yet. Carlton welcomed back Waite last week and this week he gets suspended. It must be difficult for coaches to change game plans when key players get injured or suspended. The same problem existed with Milne for St Kilda. It’s not a public holiday and it was Mother’s Day on the Sunday. This must just be Monday football experimentation by the AFL.

Carlton by 39

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