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Friday, May 3, 2013

AFL Preview Round 6

Sometimes no news is good news. The Essendon drug supplement story peters out then the newspapers make up some dodgy, juicy headlines and it’s game on again. Other than that…well I have found tipping to be hard this season because I am reading things into games that don’t really seem to be there. Wanting to pick the upsets is not smart tipping when the result is going to be obvious. There will be upsets but I was expecting a few more at the start of the season. Last week the score was 7, best effort so far. We will improve. In the meantime stay away from my picks unless they are obvious. Good luck.
 

Friday

 

Collingwood V St Kilda at the MCG

Collingwood supporters have had a bit of a reality check after a promising start the team made but the two losses have weakened its prospects on making the big one at year’s end. St Kilda has fared even worse with just one win over the lowly Giants, a feat most teams will accomplish. The Saints are rebuilding but the Pies have rebuilt. Expect the game to be a lot closer than the odds suggest. Collingwood welcome back Jolly and Krakouer into the team alongside 2 new boys. Nice to see Milne back for this one as well and giving the Magpie supporters someone to hate.

Collingwood by 22

 

Saturday

 

Essendon V GWS Giants at Etihad

The top team, with 5 wins and no losses, plays the bottom team with no wins and 5 losses. You don’t have to be Einstein to figure out the best tip for this game. Punters just need to work out the margin. The Bombers beat the Giants last season by 11 goals and you can expect a similar result in this match. The Giants have included an Irishman so maybe they will have the luck of the Oirish.

Essendon by 55

 

North Melbourne V Port Adelaide at Blundstone Tassie

Everyone agrees that the Power is a changed side from last season and whatever drug supplement these Port players are on they need to share with the Demons at a later stage. North will be looking at posting their second win after losing another close one last week to the Hawks and inflicting the first defeat on Port Adelaide. I think it can happen but I hope it’s not a close one as the Kangaroos like to lose them. If you’re looking for a sign to tip the winner then here it is: Port coach Hinkley has been hospitalized with a virus…even he doesn’t want to watch his team lose their first game.

North Melbourne by 16

 

Adelaide v Hawthorn at AAMI

Even with the match being played at AAMI where Adelaide likes to win it’s hard to see them beating an in form Hawthorn. Added to the Crows woes is the fact that Tex Walker has a knee injury so without their spearhead the chances of winning are lessened. This Adelaide team is not quite the same that almost made the Grand Final last year but Hawthorn is as good if not better than last season. Even when Buddy doesn’t kick a goal they can win games because of those alternative avenues for scoring. Rioli will be sadly missed.

Hawthorn by 18

 

Richmond V Geelong at the MCG

That great Tiger start to the season has taken a bit of a beating as has the team over the past 2 games and now Richmond get to face one of the 3 unbeaten teams in the competition. It will have to be a day on which everything goes right for the Tigers to take this one out but Geelong seems to have the answers against all comers so far this season. Nothing worthwhile in life is achieved without passion – ask jack and Stevie. 2 passionate guys playing football.

Geelong by 11

 

Gold Coast Suns V Fremantle at Metricon

Gold Coast will be full of confidence after their 2nd win of the season last week and with this epic journey across the continent for Fremantle the Suns are a chance for an upset. The Dockers have lost Fyffe for the next two games which is a bigger blow than they are likely to admit, are still without Pavlich and Sandilands but you would think they should still be good enough to account for the young Suns.  Expect a real tight game here.

Fremantle by 3

 

Sunday

 

Sydney Swans V Brisbane Lions at the SCG

The Lions kicked a big score downing the Demons last week but that has been one of just a few high points in a season that began with promise but is becoming a struggle. The Swans look as strong as they were last year and the game is on their home paddock. Hard to go against them in this one. Voss I talking the talk but can the Lions walk the walk. Black is still out injured and they sure miss Rich in the centre as well. Teams just cannot afford to be without good players when they play the best teams.

Sydney by 42

 

Carlton V Melbourne at the MCG

A poor start to the season by the Blues with 3 losses but followed by 2 good wins against quality opposition sees them go into this game as favourites. It’s Melbourne they’re playing so don’t expect any hellish miracles from the Demons and don’t expect them to win. In addition to the fact that they are not a real gun team they also lose their bets player Watts to an injury. Not a happy story at Melbourne.

Carlton by 57

 

West Coast Eagles V Western Bulldogs at Patersons

The Eagles are starting to look like the team of 2010 in which they won the wooden spoon. That won’t quite happen this season but for a team that was a reasonable bet to play in the grand final in 2013 that dream is slipping away. West Coast should beat the Bullies but this is no lay down misere for them and they will have to lift themselves out of the deep hole they are digging with a win. The Bulldogs showed some terrier against the Cats last week so they won’t be going down without a fight. On the good news front for the Eagles is the return of Natanui and if a couple of other injured players come back the team might be able to back up Whoosha’s good news stance and get some momentum.

West Coast Eagles by 28

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