Author - www.footy.com.au
Last week 6 from 9 for a total of 9 from 18. We’re tipping
at 50%! Some teams are showing unusually good form while others seem to be
finding their feet. More scandals at Essendon, resignations at Melbourne,
returns from injury and players out with injury. Frustrating business tipping.
Good luck! And yes this is the 2013 season not the 2012 season the heading
showed last week.
Fremantle v Essendon at Patersons Stadium Friday
night
Both teams go into this match undefeated after the first 2
rounds. It will be interesting to see where Essendon really is compared to last
year as they take on a very good Fremantle side, the tip made a little harder
with the game in Perth. The Dockers have been able to account for the Bombers in
previous matches here so they have every chance for a 3 zip start to the season.
Then again Essendon did win in Perth the last time they met. That pre-season
drug controversy has raised its ugly head at Essendon again with accusations
that Hird took a banned substance. He doesn’t play any more so is that a problem
although I doubt James would even consider something like that. Let’s stick to
footy.
Fremantle by 22
North Melbourne V Sydney At Blundstone Arena Tasmania
Saturday
The Kangaroos were so unlucky last week to lose a game
based on an umpiring decision but they also threw away a 6 goal lead they had at
half time so really the game should not have come down to the last kick. If they
play the same against the Swans the result will also be the same – another loss.
Some aspects of their game in the 2nd half left a lot to be desired
and Sydney knows how to maintain pressure.
The Swans have never played at this ground before and I
wonder whether that makes a difference. North must somehow manufacture a win
after 2 close losses but I can’t see that happening in this game.
Sydney by 16
Melbourne V West Coast Eagles at the MCG
Saturday
No tipster in his or her right mind can tip Melbourne for
a game until they see some sort of improvement. While West Coast seems to have
their own problems, lack of effort isn’t one of them. With 2 losses from 2 games
and high hopes of playing in a Grand Final this year the Eagles need to start
here. During the week the Melbourne president Cameron Schwab fell on his sword
but he would be the last in line one could blame. Perhaps he had a better offer
to go somewhere else or like the rest of us, cannot see the Demons recovering to
be any sort of a football team until the 2020’s. Can anyone remember when
15th played 18th and the odds against one of the teams was
$11 for a win?
West Coast by 33
GWS Giants V St Kilda at Manuka Canberra
Saturday
Unlike the Demons the Giants look like they are trying,
they simply don’t have the experience of games in the playing group. St Kilda
has lost 2 games, neither by a lot, and they should be good enough to account
for GWS in this game. Remember they beat the Giants by 128 points last time they
met and there hasn’t been that much changed in either team. St Kilda didn’t look
all that bad against Richmond last week so they should open their account with a
win in this match.
St Kilda by 69
Geelong V Carlton at Etihad Saturday
night
Even though Geelong has won their first 2 games and
Carlton has lost both theirs the two teams are playing well and the Blues are
not so far from a win. Unfortunately for them the Cats look a little better
across the ground and can match Carlton for pace. Mick says he isn’t panicking
yet but 3 losses in a row might have him chewing a fingernail or two. The Cats
have been able to come back from 6 goal deficits two games in a row so even a
fast start by the Blues won’t mean ‘put down your glasses’ if they are 6 goals
up at half time. I’m not sure they are playing a different game plan but one
must assume that they are because the old one, under Ratten, yielded little in
the way of success.
Geelong by 13
Gold Coast Suns V Brisbane Lions at Metricon Saturday
night
Can the Suns pull off another win against the Lions who
have not opened their account yet? Brisbane is not playing well and while their
first loss was a surprisingly big margin they were expected to do a lot better
against the Crows at home. I’ve tipped them twice already for two losses and I
am heading for the 3 strikes rule in this game. The Suns have done pretty well
in 2 rounds so far this season with a win and a reasonable effort against
Sydney. Tipsters are all waiting for Brisbane to show us something, like a win,
so the tip goes to the Lions.
Brisbane by 7
Richmond V Western Bulldogs at Etihad
Sunday
I see these sides as pretty even with the Tigers just a
whisker ahead due to a more structured forward line. While I am inclined to tip
Richmond to continue their welcome winning form I would not be surprised to see
a Bulldog victory. I saw a lot of errors by the Tigers in that game against St
Kilda last week. The team with the least errors in this match will emerge
victorious. The odds quoted for the Bulldogs is $4.20! That’s a bit generous and
probably worth a lazy $10 as a speculative. But, the Tigers thrashed the Doggies
last time they met so maybe they have their measure. It would be nice to see the
roof on if there is a wet weather forecast.
Richmond by 17
Collingwood V Hawthorn at the MCG
Sunday
We can expect another big crowd at the MCG to see these
two teams play again. They always provide great football and great
entertainment. Collingwood has the opportunity to notch 3 wins from 3 games but
in the past the Hawks have nailed them in the last quarter. The Pies dislodged
the Carlton monkey from their back last week can they do the same in this match
against Hawthorn? If Collingwood wants to make a statement this year then this
win is pretty important. The Magpies have beaten 2 of the 3 teams they couldn’t
beat last year and Hawthorn is the 3rd. Not a lot wrong with the
Hawthorn game plan either and the inclusion of Hodge last week against West
Coast makes them look even better.
Collingwood by 7
Port Adelaide V Adelaide at AAMI
Sunday
Last season you would not have given the Power a sniff of
a chance in this match up with big brother in the SA Derby but somehow the team
has been turned around and is performing well, probably better than the Crows at
the moment. Unfortunately the act of tipping them to win is haunted by ghosts of
the past in the form of some big losses. I don’t foresee a regression but I
still think Adelaide will win. Port has beaten GWS and Melbourne but most AFL
teams will be able to add that stat to their win / loss record this
year.
Adelaide by 25
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