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Sunday, April 28, 2013

AFL Review Round 5

2013 SEASON
Author - www.footy.com.au

With May Day holidays and a weekend off it was a great opportunity to watch every game on AFL streaming. Usually the opportunity to do this is restricted to a half or 3 quarters of a few games and all of a game that is played in the late afternoon. 3 close games provided some much needed entertainment. The Essendon win and the Port Adelaide tip were the contentious games to pick from this round. But those that picked those two would have finished with 9 from 9.

 

Essendon 18.13.121 defeated Collingwood 10.15.75

A record crowd of 93,000 plus watched a high quality game that saw the Bombers remain undefeated and Collingwood get beaten easily in the last 15 minutes. With just over 8 minutes to play the Pies were closing and had got to within 2 goals. 3 free kicks to Essendon in front of goal, which I thought were very poor decisions, helped seal the game as the Magpie impetus was halted. The umpiring didn’t cost Collingwood the game but certainly the margin might have been less. Essendon look like the real deal this year. With their next game against the Giants they will be 6 wins from 6 games and the Pies need to get their act together to beat St Kilda next week. The attitude of some players in the last 6 minutes would have had Mick throwing a hissy fit in the box if he was still coaching.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

AFL Preview Round 5


author - www.footy.com.au
Not a lot to report in the way of AFL news. Thommo for the Crows was suspended so he won’t figure in the Brownlow is what they are saying. A bit cheeky really – it’s just the 5th game of the season. Having to get the previews and tips out so early due to Anzac day could be a good thing because the less information the better. Tips have not been really good so far and that may be due to info overload. Good luck is needed each week to snag the close ones and common sense will get you the rest. Rumour has it anyway…………..
 

Essendon V Collingwood Anzac Day at the MCG

Bomber form at the moment is nothing short of red hot and in an emotion charged game like this you can expect the unexpected. Collingwood has beaten Essendon of late but the Anzac Day game is really special and you can expect this to be a tight finish…or not if the unexpected happens. Both teams have had just the 5 day break so there can be no excuses. Will we see another undefeated team take a loss?

Collingwood by 15

Monday, April 22, 2013

AFL Review Round 4

 
Author www.footy.com.au 

It’s hardly worth mentioning the pathetic tips for this week with a score of 5 and if this continues maybe the preview will not give you a winner in the future but just a hint of a possibility. Aaggghhh!!

 

Geelong 19.10.124 defeated Sydney 16.7.103

What a privilege it was to watch the 1st quarter of this game in which 15 goals were kicked! The speed of handpasses, interceptions, the kicking accuracy and the commitment was something to see. The scoring certainly slowed down over the next 3 quarters, as you would expect, but that 1st quarter was something you don’t see very often. High scoring was not due to poor defence it was simply that the ball was coming into the forward 50 so quickly the backs hardly had time to catch their breath.  The game reminded me of the Carlton V Richmond Grand final (1972 I think) in which 50 goals were kicked and it really rained goals. I suspect both these teams might find it easier next week with Sydney playing St Kilda and Geelong meets the Western Bulldogs. I might add that the Sydney V St Kilda game will be played in Wellington, New Zealand!

Friday, April 19, 2013

AFL Preview Round 4

Author-www.footy.com.au
Meanwhile back at AFL: Is it just me or has anybody else noticed an inordinate amount of players with full beards? It’s like a Movember that has become a Decembeard! I think it looks kind of funny on players today but maybe it’s a fashion shift I haven’t picked up seeing I am living in China. Feel free to enlighten me on that. So last week 6 correct from 9 which was acceptable with a couple of picks that could have gone either way – Fremantle V Essendon and Brisbane V Gold Coast. It was surprising to see the Power knock off Adelaide. Tipping AFL is definitely a sickness because you find that you are supporting sides you really don’t want to win just because you have tipped them. Tipping the side you most want to win is a hazard particularly if you support Melbourne, with no reward other than a pure heart and peace of mind. Might be worth a try!

 

Sydney V Geelong at the SCG Friday Night

Two of the 5 undefeated teams face each other Friday night in what we can expect to be a great game of footy. The Swans are in good form shown by an 11 goal quarter against North Melbourne last week. The Cats keep coming from behind to win games but it wouldn’t be a good idea to give Sydney too big a start. Has Geelong what it takes for another crack at a premiership? Is Sydney good enough for back to back flags? It will be interesting to see which team has the dominant midfield in this match.

Sydney by 11

 

Hawthorn V Fremantle at Aurora Tassie Saturday

Although the Hawks lost that first game against the Cats their form has been awesome with 2 big wins against finalists from last year. They face another finalist in Fremantle but tipping against Hawthorn in this match is not really an option. The Dockers threw away a win last week against the Bombers and as mad as that might make them and determined to make amends it won’t be happening in this game. Fremantle can boast a stingy defence but Hawthorn seems to have so many options when they head for goal. Here’s hoping the Dockers can give a good account of themselves.

Hawthorn by 38

 

Richmond V Collingwood at the MCG Saturday

In past matches between these two it hasn’t been possible to pick the Tigers because they just have not been good enough to match the Pies. With a promising 3 wins from 3 games so far this season their chances seem a lot better. Collingwood will be trying to make up for its poor second half against the Hawks last week and might still have a bit more class than Richmond. Expect a big crowd and a good game. The Pies have a lot of injury concerns so early in the season and will miss big man Jolley again this week. Lynch was useful in the game against Carlton but he is not a permanent answer to the ruck position. If Richmond win this they will be well placed to make the finals this year.

Collingwood by 27

 

St Kilda V Essendon at Etihad Saturday

The Bombers have lost 2 players due to suspension and the Saints hope that is just enough to give them an edge in this game and inflict Essendon’s first loss for the season. The Bombers got out of jail last week with a come from behind win against Freo and again, you can expect a close game between the two teams. The Goddard move from St Kilda to Essendon will no doubt get a bit of press mileage. You can get generous odds for a Saints win – not justified.

St Kilda by 5

 

Gold Coast Suns V Port Adelaide at Metricon Saturday

Who would have thought the Power would be undefeated after the first 3 rounds? Mind you, they haven’t played the best teams although last week’s win against Adelaide, a prelim finalist from 2012, was a damn good effort. This will be a close game because the Suns are playing well enough for us to consider tipping them against Port. Gold Coast lost by 8 goals last time they played and you couldn’t say the Power was a good side so tipping the Suns is probably going out on a limb a bit.

Gold Coast by 14

 

West Coast Eagles V Carlton at Paterson Saturday

It’s hard to see any relief for a horror start to the season for the Blues and the only one probably enjoying this might be Brett Ratten. Even thought Hawthorn pounded the Eagles in Perth, it has been hard for teams to win there and Carlton is certainly no Hawthorn at the moment. West Coast played the lowly Demons so a win was expected but they were also expected to play a lot better than they did against Fremantle and the Hawks. Can Carlton open its win account in Perth? Can the Eagles consolidate from last week’s big win? Mick said there was a lot of work to be done when he took over as coach of the Blues. Looks like he was right. Carlton’s plight is not helped a lot by the loss of Kreuzer for 6 weeks either.

West Coast by 19

 

Melbourne V GWS Giants at the MCG Sunday

The 2 bottom teams playing off does not hold a lot of importance for non-supporters but is certainly the opposite for the teams involved. Can the Giants notch their first win of the season? Will Melbourne make some sort of effort and win one for their fans? This is a nightmare pick for the tipster and the result could go either way. Heads….it’s…..

Melbourne by 8

 

Adelaide V Western Bulldogs at AAMI Sunday

Well it was a nice opening to the season for the Bulldogs but it has been downhill from there and the slippery slope continues for them with this game against the Crows. Only percentage separates them on the ladder but eventually Adelaide needs to rediscover its winning form from last year, or, was that an inaugural flash in the pan for a new coaching team? The Bulldogs don’t seem to mind playing at AAMI having won at that venue more times than they have lost. Considering both teams sit at 1 from 3 the odds against a Bulldogs win look inviting.

Adelaide by 33

 

North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions at Etihad Sunday

The Lions scraped home last week against the Suns and the Kangaroos were thrashed by the Swans but the real downer for them was the 11 goals in a quarter kicked against them in that game. If you looked at their first two games against Collingwood and Geelong they played well enough to almost win so that effort in Tassie was a shocker. Harsh words from the coach should have them back in good enough form to dispatch Brisbane who has been anything but impressive so far.

North Melbourne by 24

Monday, April 15, 2013

AFL REVIEW - Round 3

 
Author - www.footy.com.au
Maybe we have to stop tipping surprise results because most of the games finished up as expected. Essendon beating Freo? Well, that was a game that could have gone either way as could have the game between the Lions and the Suns. Collingwood’s form was in fact a little better than Hawthorn’s and the win by Port was probably tipped only by Power supporters. Teams are still finding their feet although watching the games you can see different levels of skill that should be helping you pick winners more consistently. It doesn’t get easier either as the season rolls on.

 

Essendon 10.12.72 defeated Fremantle 9.14.68

Does anyone know how the Dockers lost this game? Exactly 6 goals up at half time in what was obviously going to be a low scoring game Fremantle coughed up that lead to be just 3 points ahead at the last change. 2 very late shots on goal by Freo in the last minute of the game saw one ball bounce unexpectedly through for a point and then a gimme kick about 12 metres out hit the post! Unbelievable. Essendon coach Hird has had to endure a bit of pressure this week as well so to win in Perth and maintain that unbeaten start to the season is pretty good. The Bombers play the Saints next week and Fremantle play an in-form Hawthorn in Tassie.

Saturday, April 13, 2013

AFL Preview Round 3

 
 
Last week 6 from 9 for a total of 9 from 18. We’re tipping at 50%! Some teams are showing unusually good form while others seem to be finding their feet. More scandals at Essendon, resignations at Melbourne, returns from injury and players out with injury. Frustrating business tipping. Good luck! And yes this is the 2013 season not the 2012 season the heading showed last week.

Fremantle v Essendon at Patersons Stadium Friday night

Both teams go into this match undefeated after the first 2 rounds. It will be interesting to see where Essendon really is compared to last year as they take on a very good Fremantle side, the tip made a little harder with the game in Perth. The Dockers have been able to account for the Bombers in previous matches here so they have every chance for a 3 zip start to the season. Then again Essendon did win in Perth the last time they met. That pre-season drug controversy has raised its ugly head at Essendon again with accusations that Hird took a banned substance. He doesn’t play any more so is that a problem although I doubt James would even consider something like that. Let’s stick to footy.

Fremantle by 22

 

Monday, April 8, 2013

AFL Review Round 2

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2013 - AFL Review Round 2
Doubled the tipping score from last week but still some way to go. Watching the games hasn’t made me wiser but has certainly made me happier. There are a few teams I can’t quite figure out in that whether they will win one week or not. But, only round 2 and Collingwood did beat Carlton, that’s always a positive mood changer. What about the goal umpire that has to have a knee reconstruction after being injured during the game by a Bulldog player? Are umpires getting too close to the play? These guys are just part time too I think – I mean the goal umpires, like we had in grade and suburban footy. Mums and dads doing the job.

Friday, April 5, 2013

AFL Preview Round 2


 
Last week tipsters either scored 7’s and 8’s or 3’s and 4’s. That’s the sort of round it was with some unexpected results. Those that somehow scored an 8 or a 9 really have little understanding of the game! J Experience tells me to expect the unexpected again and tips this week might be more from the heart and gut feel rather than using any logic. Logic made up last week’s debacle. Let’s try something else to see if we can improve.