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Friday, September 28, 2012

AFL Grand Final Preview

 
Hawthorn V Sydney at the MCG

Well that one day in September is with us again and two top teams will meet to decide the premiership. This game will be dissected by a panel of experts down to every statistic available on contested possessions, effective kicks, clearances and whatever else they can use to help you determine who is going to win the game. But Grand Finals are a separate issue and how fit you are above the shoulders usually has a lot to do with how well you are going to play on the day. The teams are fairly even in positions across the ground and you have to admire Sydney getting this far when it was unexpected at the start of the season. With that in mind and watching the Adelaide Crows almost beat the Hawks you can expect a close game because the Swans don’t come across as a mentally weak side. Hawthorn has been a little bit better in games against top sides like Geelong and Collingwood but looking at the ladder there wasn’t a lot separating the top 4 teams in wins and losses anyway. Grand Finals are all about pressure and the better players play well under pressure, making less mistakes resulting in less turnovers. Can Sydney deny the Hawks something that most experts have said belongs to them? I believe that Hawthorn has far more goal kicking options than the Swans and if I remember correctly the highest score wins the game. I have picked a 5 goal margin because when a team knows they are going to lose a GF they seem to allow easy last minute goals to the opposition even though the game may have been tight and tough for 95% of the match.


Hawthorn by 29

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