Monday, April 23, 2012

AFL Review Round 4

Fremantle 14.8.92 Defeated St Kilda 11.13.79
So much for statistics. Fremantle hadn’t beaten the Saints since King Arthur married Guinevere and the Dockers had as much chance of winning in Melbourne at Etihad as Kevin Rudd has of being the next PM of Australia. And in the face of all those damning stats for tipsters to ignore Fremantle they get up and win. Bah! Humbug! Ross Lyon would have been happier than most with his new team beating his old team and the win has given Freo a nice start to the season. St Kilda will beat teams on their level but might struggle against the top 6 or 7. So it’s a bonus they meet Melbourne next week. The Dockers play Carlton at home – that might be interesting after the round 4 results.
Essendon 15.19.1096 Defeated Carlton 11.13.79
Not sure who was more surprised by the Bomber win – Essendon or Carlton!! Anyway, the weekend tipping is getting worse. Zip from 2. James Hird said: “ I don’t think anyone in Australia gave us a
chance of winning today.” Nor did anyone in China Jimmy! Amen. One of the good things to come out of this game is that Essendon has to butter up to Collingwood at the MCG on Anzac Day, which is this Wednesday. The Bombers need to be shot down they are flying high.
Collingwood 14.13.97 Defeated Port Adelaide 10.13.73
Some tipping sanity prevailed with a Magpie win over the Power but that wasn’t a cakewalk either. Collingwood won the game in the 1st quarter after which they led by 33 points. As the final margin was 28 points you can say that Port Adelaide hung in there for the next 3 quarters. A good result for the Pies after a difficult week of bad press….or should that be pressident? Maybe the difference in the sides today was Cloke firing at full forward with 4 goals. A sour note for Port was Greay suffering a season-ending knee injury in the last few minutes. Port plays the South Australian derby against the Crows next week.
Adelaide 13.18.96 Defeated GWS Giants 7.8.50
This was a rather good effort by the Giants to lose by only 46 points when most thought it was going to be a far greater margin. Apparently a scrappy game but a win is a win and the Crows have made a good start to the season with 3 – 1 on the board. GWS just has to keep persisting. They could only muster 7 goals in the game and that score is not going to win too many games – in fact none. GWS meet the Bulldogs next week.
Brisbane Lions 17.9.11 Defeated Gold Coast Suns 6.10.46
Gold Coast was 8 points behind at half time. After the long break they added 1 goal and the Lions kicked 10 and that is how the final margin ended up just under 11 goals! It was a very disappointing effort by the Suns considering their gallant game against Essendon last week. Jonathon Brown kicked 3 in his second game since his facial injury and Ablett was again the best for the Suns but suffered a knee injury late in the game. Reports so far say he will be ok. Good effort by Brisbane who played without Leuenberger and Black. The Suns play another tough one against North Melbourne next week, although all the Gold Coast games are going to be hard, and Brisbane is at home again next week against Geelong.
West Coast 5.21.51 Defeated Hawthorn 5.16.46
The Eagles had not kicked a goal to half time and Hawthorn had kicked 2. So two goals were kicked in a half of football by two teams that have been plundering the scoreboard in the opening rounds, particularly West Coast who sat on top of the ladder with an obscene percentage. They remain undefeated while the Hawks have dropped 2 games of their opening 4. That deficit might be hard for them to make up on the good teams as the season progresses. Opposition teams say if you can hold Buddy to 1 or 2 goals you can beat the Hawks and maybe that was the case. He kicked 1.6 and continues to try to roll them through the goals along the ground. Are the West Coast Eagles the real deal this year without LeCras? They play the Tigers next week at Etihad and Hawthorn take on another unbeaten team - the Sydney Swans!
Geelong 11.9.75 Defeated Richmond 9.11.65
In another low scoring game the Cats scraped home against the Tigers in windy conditions at Simonds Stadium. I think that was the Cats’ first home game so there would have been the unfurling of the premiership flag. Geelong continues to be beaten for contested possessions but they have still won 2 games. In the end talent will baffle stats.
Sydney 17.11.113 Defeated North Melbourne 10.17.77
The Swans continue to confound the tipsters – well this tipster. Sydney is having a great start to the season although they have yet to play any of the big 5. North’ s loss is really a continuation of the inconsistency they had last season. A win against Geelong needed to be a consolidation for North and as both these teams seemed evenly matched it was a good chance for North to make a statement. But you have to hand it to Sydney who now have a 4-0 start to the year. They won this game without Goodes and a major factor was that they could keep the North runners quiet. North should win next week against Gold Coast and the Swans take on the Hawks in Melbourne.
Western Bulldogs 13.10.88 Defeated Melbourne 9.13.67
The Bulldogs were ahead most of the game maintaining that 2 to 3 goals lead regardless of Melbourne’s efforts. The conditions at the MCG weren’t great so maybe that was an excuse that can be used for lowish scores but it was more likely that neither team has been able to kick a lot of goals in any of their games so far this season and this scoreline was just a continuation of that. New Bulldog coach McCartney recorded his first win with the team denying fellow new coach Neelds the same glory.

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