Monday, July 18, 2011

AFL Review Round 17

This week 3/7 = 96/132 (72.7%)
I guess, in hindsight, there were a few silly tips in the preview but I thought there were a few unfavourable results too. Another win to the Suns? Well I haven’t tipped a single win by them but then who has? I thought West Coast would have been buoyed by the Carlton defeat and snatch 4th spot on the ladder but they really blew it in the last quarter listening to the commentators. Freo’s win was always a possibility and they were playing as well as Sydney this year and then the factor that the game was at home for the Swans had to be considered although they hadn’t been winning there consistently this season. Then we have North Melbourne, after a 100 plus points drubbing by Collingwood the previous week, come out and kick a similar score to what the Pies kicked against them and beat the Bulldogs who were on a roll with 4 consecutive wins.
Go figure that one! Gotta love this game……….as supporter …..not as a tipster!!! If only the Chinese could copy Aussie Rules like they copy everything else!!
Essendon 12.12.84 defeated Adelaide 10.13.73
This was another come from behind win for the Bombers after the Crows led by 6 goals at half time! It was a good win for Essendon as it gives them a bit more consolidation in the top 8. Not a lot can be said for Adelaide who continually throws away seemingly match winning leads. The Crows lose to St Kilda next week and the Bombers will play Carlton in what should be another MCG blockbuster with another big crowd.
Gold Coast Suns 12.13.85 defeated Richmond 9.16.70
Can you believe this score line? A freakin’ gale force wind made one end of the ground a score feast but the Suns were able to hold the Tigers to 2.7 in the third quarter enabling them to use that wind to kick a bag of goals in the last quarter. It was another meritorious win to the Suns in their first season and a devastating loss to Richmond – again. It doesn’t let up for the Tigers either as they play Geelong next week and the Suns finally get to play the premiers Collingwood next week. The interest in that game will be the margin.
Collingwood 13.20.98 defeated Carlton 11.13.79
Listening to the game it seems the Pies had control of the match but poor kicking for goal kept the Blues in the game. Carlton was able to get as close as a kick from the lead but Collingwood always seemed to have the answers. It has been a bad week for Collingwood with the betting scandal so it’s good to see they could win a blockbuster with those distractions. Judd was well held early but finished with 29 touches and lots of contested possessions, his trademark and vote getting style. Swan, Pendlebury and Thomas did the usual for the Pies and Cloke was okay up forward with 3 goals.
St Kilda 13.4.82 defeated West Coast 9.7.61
At the end of the 1st quarter we were saying the Saints by how much as they kicked 6 goals to zip. From then to the end of the 3rd quarter it was all West Coast but it seems they used all their energy getting back into the game because they faded in the last quarter and not only lost the game but lost the opportunity to move into the top 4 after the loss by Carlton! The only games St Kilda has lost in their past 8 were to Collingwood and Geelong so they are starting to look like a finals threat. To add to the loss of Lenny Hayes with a knee injury it looks like Gwilt will join him on the sidelines. I think the Saints found a little bit more in the last quarter for Allan Jeans.
Melbourne 17.11.113 defeated Port Adelaide 14.8.92
The Demons always seemed to have this game in the bag and when they piled on the goals in the 3rd quarter it was going to be difficult for the Power to come back. However, Port kicked 4 unanswered goals and got to within about 2 goals of Melbourne before the Demons steadied. They keep alive their hopes of a finals appearance while Port heads for the Wooden Spoon. There is a mighty race on for the last two positions in the 8 and it will only intensify over the next few weeks.
Fremantle 15.8.98 defeated Sydney 13.9.87
Tipping upsets continued as Fremantle held off a late charge by the Swans to register a very good away win and consolidate their finals position. At 3 quarter time the Dockers could not lose, or so they thought with a 38 point lead. The Swans kicked 5 goals and almost stole the game before a couple of stupid errors by Swans’ players handed the game to Freo in the last few minutes. The Dockers meet their home town rivals next week and it should be a great game as both sides are in winning form. Sydney plays the Western Bulldogs and it’s anybody’s guess for that game.
Geelong 20.13.133 defeated Brisbane 15.14.104
A rather gallant effort against the Cats by the Lions. In fact they held a 3 point lead at the last change. Geelong was up to the challenge and kicked 7 goals to 2 in the last quarter running out 29 point winners. The Pods kicked 8 for the Cats in a career best and unfortunately Jonathan Brown took another massive hit going front on into a pack and left the ground in a neck brace and was taken to hospital for scans. The guy knows no fear.

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