Friday, June 24, 2011

AFL Preview Round 14

Last week 7/8 = 77/101 (76.2%)
Seems I am having a good run with the tipping over the past 2 weeks and let’s hope the preview has jumped the right way in some of the closer contests again this week. Keeping up to date with what’s going on in Oz and it seems to be the usual – traffic, murders, violence, utility charges rising, banks making billions and still no Lotto win for those that really need it….like me.

Flooding continues in the south of China and the weather here in the north east is hot, hot, hot. We had 5 days over 30 with two of them at 36 and it certainly tests you particularly with no air conditioning. Cool change just coming in the window this afternoon is a welcome relief. The number of multi-storey apartment blocks going up is amazing and I doubt you would believe me if I gave you an amount. Construction goes on 24/7 so you can see these storeys just climbing higher right in front of your eyes! With nobody sleeping on the streets most of us wonder who is going to be living in them. Very rich city is Daqing with all its oil. The sports stadium is progressing well. I wonder if I can chat to my mates Andrew and Eddie and arrange an away AFL game here next season. People here need something else to do other than eat and drink. ??? Then again, maybe not.
Summer break coming up for all the schools so depending on the schedule of classes I will take the opportunity to visit the Great Wall (I’ve been drinking Great Wall reds every night so might as well see the place from which they got the name), Chengdu, Shandong, Wuzhen and take that bullet train ride from Beijing to Shanghai.
Good luck this week in the tipping as there are a couple of tricky ones.
Hawthorn V Essendon at the MCG Friday Night
The Bombers have definitely faded since the sensational start of the season and the best hope the Bombers have of winning future games is when they play mid level teams. Hawthorn, even without Buddy and Roughead, is not a mid level team. On form it’s hard to go past the Hawks. The novelty of a past champion as coach has worn off although James has warned supporters of this happening as being likely. Clarkson seems to think the Hawks are still a chance for the flag. Hmmph.
Hawthorn by 29
Gold Coast Suns V Western Bulldogs at Metricon Saturday
I’m tempted to pencil in the Suns to come close in this game that’s how bad the Western Bulldogs are playing. The Doggies will have to work very hard to win this game but experience should prevail over the last quarter and a half. The Suns represent a reasonable rough bet. They can probably match it with the Dogs for 3 quarters so it’s a matter of holding on at the end if they have a lead.
Western Bulldogs by 21
Richmond V Melbourne at the MCG Saturday
The game has reached blockbuster status – 2 Melbourne based teams that have given their supporters hope and frustration over many years. Expect 70,000 at the MCG to see whether the Tigers or the Demons can take that next step and pinch a spot in the 8. Inconsistency has been the name of the game so we can expect a close game – or not.
Richmond by 11
Sydney V Collingwood at ANZ Stadium
The Pies are coming off that dreaded bye and the Swans suffered a beating at the hands of Carlton last week. Collingwood players are returning from Arizona so hopefully those that play will not have their heads in the clouds. If you believe there is still a significant class difference between the two sides then pick Collingwood. If you think this as good an opportunity as ever will come for the Swans to get one back at the Pies at ANZ then pick Sydney. Really? Mumford out for the Swans and perhaps Jolly back in gives the Pies an edge in the ruck not to mention the Collingwood midfielders. Definitely a hard ask for Sydney but not impossible.
Collingwood by 39
Fremantle v Brisbane at Patersons Stadium Perth Saturday
On the basis of continually tipping Brisbane games incorrectly thinking that they might win, the lesson has been learnt and regardless of the poor form of Fremantle they should be too good at home for the Lions in this one. The Dockers are in danger of losing a place in the finals so the incentive is there.
Fremantle by 22
Geelong V Adelaide at Skilled stadium Sunday
Neil Craig, coach of the Adelaide Crows, has stated that the team and the supporters should brace themselves for a bit of pain as the team gains experience and bloods new players. The pain continues in this game.
Geelong by 66
Carlton V West Coast Eagles at Etihad Sunday
For followers of the game that think west Coast will come close to knocking off the Blues you must think that the teams are fairly level on skill and experience. I don’t believe this is so. The Eagles have come off the bottom of the ladder in sensational form but there is still a gap between them and the top 4 teams. Their winning run will be brought to a halt in this match and the winning run of Carlton continues.
Carlton by 38
Port Adelaide V North Melbourne at AAMI Sunday
North has won its last 3 games and it’s been a while since it won 4 on the trot. This will be one of those times.
North Melbourne by 41

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