Friday, May 27, 2011

AFL Preview Round 10

Last week 5 /8 = 50/69 (72.5%)
By Saturday night when I had tipped 4 from 5 I thought 6 or 7 was a sure thing. Both WA teams were tipped incorrectly which didn’t help and an underestimation of Hawthorn sealed the score at 5. But it has been difficult to gauge the form of some of the teams. Geelong and Collingwood look like good prospects to pick to win each week. Port Adelaide can be picked to lose every week. Essendon, Carlton, West Coast, Hawthorn and perhaps Fremantle are showing some consistency and the rest? Figure it out.
When these middle of the road teams play each other the result really can go either way. This round there are a couple of games like that so it gets down to the flip of a coin or picking by gut feeling. After last week I might leave the gut feeling picks out of the equation. Good luck.
Melbourne V Carlton at the MCG Friday night
The Blues have really been consistent losing only to the top 2 teams. Can’t say the same for the Demons and on that basis it’s difficult to tip them with confidence in this game.
Carlton by 33
North Melbourne V Sydney at Etihad Saturday
Well there is not a lot in this game with both teams being somewhere about the middle in performance. If North can play well at this ground they will push Sydney to the edge. While I think another draw might be a reasonable tip I’ll put my hand up for North to come back from a disappointing loss to the Lions.
North Melbourne by 12
Fremantle V St Kilda at Subiaco Saturday
I can’t get my head around tipping Freo against supposedly better teams allowing for the stupidity of last week’s selection against Port of course. St Kilda look fragile this season but it was a good win last week. No Sandilands for Freo to add to their injury woes. Can they win without him? There are not many options for Fremantle who can stand in for the big guy. I haven’t got a Fremantle tip right yet so why start now.
St Kilda by 15
Gold Coast Suns V Geelong at Metricon Saturday night
This will be a nice introduction to the use of the new Suns ground on the Gold Coast. Let’s see if the new, electronic scoreboard has been tested to register 200 points for a side.
Geelong by 99
Richmond V Port Adelaide in Darwin Saturday night
The Power can thank their lucky stars that the game is not being played in Melbourne where they would be lucky to get away with an 80 point margin. In Darwin the heat might slow the Tigers down a little at the end so we will compensate the point difference to allow.
Richmond by 50
Adelaide V Brisbane Lions at AAMI Sunday
This is one of the more difficult games to tip seeing the Lions won last week to celebrate the return of their captain Brown. The Crows put up a great effort against the Pies last week as well but got killed in the last quarter. They should rally at home to beat Brisbane.
Adelaide by 20
Collingwood V West Coast at the MCG Sunday
Collingwood kicked 11 goals in the last quarter in their match against Adelaide last week and the Eagles booted 10 goals in the last quarter against the Bulldogs. With that sort of form you would have to give West Coast a chance wouldn’t you? No.
Colingwood by 38
Western Bulldogs V Hawthorn at Etihad Sunday
Picking teams on form this season has been disastrous for tipsters but you have to be crazy to pick the Bulldogs to win this.
Hawthorn by 29

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